Alemtsehai Turasie | Faculty Profiles

Diplomas/Degrees

PhD, Applied Statistics, University of Exeter, UK (2012)

MSc, Applied Statistics, Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia (2006)

BSc, Statistics , Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia (2003)

Recent Courses

Introduction To Probability Theory

Regression Analysis

Statistics And Data Analytics

Survey Of Statistics

Research Interests

Statistical modeling of weather and climate, Time series Econometrics, Applied linear modeling, Categorical data analysis.

International Experience

Taught Statistics courses at

Hawassa University in Ethiopia, Wits University in South Africa, and University of Exeter (GTA) in the UK.

Postdoctoral research associate at the Brazilian National Institute for Space Researches, Centre for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies.

Articles

Turasie, A.A. and Coelho, C.A.S. (In Press). Assessment of Co-movement, Granger Causality and Lead-Lag Relationship Between Monthly Temperature and Precipitation. Theoretical and Applied Climatology.

Stephenson, D.B, Turasie, A.A. and Cummins, D.P. (2023). More Accurate Climate Trend Attribution by Using Cointegrating Vector Time Series Models. Sustainability 15(16), 12142. https://doi.org/10.3390/ su151612142.

Turasie, A.A. (2021). Exceedance and return period of high temperatures in the African region. Climate 9(4): 53; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9040053.

Turasie, A.A. (2020). Temporal dynamics in COVID-19 transmission: Case of some African countries. Advances in Infectious Diseases 10(3): 110-122; DOI: 10.4236/aid.2020.103011

Ndebele, N., Grab, S. and Turasie, A.A. (2020). Characterizing rainfall in the south-western Cape, South Africa: 1841-2016. International Journal of Climatology 40(4): 1992-2014; DOI: 10.1002/joc.6314

Davidson, J.E.H, Stephenson, D.B. and Turasie, A.A. (2016). Time Series Modelling of Paleoclimate Data. Environmetrics 27(1): 55-65; DOI: 10.1002/env.2373

Turasie, A.A. and Coelho, C.A.S. (2016). Cointegration Modelling for Empirical South American Seasonal Temperature Forecasts. International Journal of Climatology 36: 4523- 4533; DOI: 10.1002/joc.4649.

Turasie, A.A. and Wencheko, E. (2006). Association of HIV Infection with some Selected Factors and Modeling the Chance of Contracting HIV: The Case of Hawassa and Its Surrounding. Journal of the Ethiopian Statistical Association, 15(1), 25-46.

Conference Presentations

Turasie, A. A. (2024). Assessment of Granger causality and lead-lag relationship between monthly temperature and precipitation. American Geophysical Union Fall 2024 meeting (AGU24), Washington DC, USA, December 11, 2024.

Turasie, A. A. (2017). Exceedance and return period of high temperature in the African region. Fifth Annual CliMathNet conference, Reading, UK, August 31, 2017.

Turasie, A. A. and Stephenson, D. B. (2016).Cointegration methods for detection and attribution of climate change. American Geophysical Union Fall 2016 meeting (AGU16), San Francisco, USA, December 12, 2016.

Turasie, A. A. and Coelho, C.A.S. (2015). Cointegration modelling for empirical South American seasonal temperature forecasts American Geophysical Union Fall 2015 meeting (AGU15), San Francisco, USA, December 16, 2015.

Turasie, A.A. and Coelho, C.A.S (2013). Calibration and combination of predictions at seasonal scale. Second General Assembly of SPECS project, KNMI, Utrecht, the Netherlands, October 16, 2013.

Turasie, A. A., Stephenson, D.B., Jupp, T.E. and Davidson, J. (2012). New cointegration methods for detection and attribution of climate trends. European Geosciences Union General Assembly (EGU2012), Vienna, Austria, April 24, 2012.